Perspective: Gut Check on COVID-19 Risk
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Get some perspective folks. Our good friend Phil Kerpen has updated the COVID-19 mortality tables by age – specific age actually! So look up your own risk between you and your peers below.
First, find your age on the chart on column #1.
Second column: how many people your age have died of COVID-19 since January 2020
Third column: the number of people in the U.S. who are that age.
Fourth column: the % of the people that age who have died of COVID.
Notice the number of deaths over the past 2 years for 1 year olds to 4 year olds compared to the regular number of deaths those ages realize
Lastly, consider the types of deaths which occur at these ratios. We’ve mapped these to mortality risks provided by insurance companies for comparison.
And of course we provide some perspective on age comparisons. The median age of death of a COVID-19 victim is about 80 years old. The risk tables show that for every 20 years below 80 your risk decreases by 10x. So if you are 60 your risk is 10x lower than that of an 80 year old. If you are 40 your risk is 100x lower and if you are 20 your risk is 1000x (ONE THOUSAND!) times lower than an 80 year old.
The info here is worth more than the subscription cost. FAR MORE!
"Covid associated" doesn't mean that they died from covid. For example, in Santa Clara county doctors submit a "covid death" form if the diseased tested positive EVER. It's not a speculation, it's a form for doctors on the county website! Older patients, perhaps, have a better chance of testing positive because they go to doctors and test more often. But I've never seen charts "tests performed by age".
Back in summer 2020, when testing was widely available but they still didn't harvest tons of meaningless "positive tests", I remember comparing 2 charts, probability by age to die from covid and probability by age to die for any reason. They were remarkably similar.
I'm also curious about estimates "probability of contracting covid-like respiratory illness overtime". Say, how long does it take for an average person who lives their life normally to contract it and get sick (not counting any "asymptomatic" and "testing positive" nonsense)? It's been 2 years already. I've been around alphas, deltas, omicrons (no stupid masks, and I never took the test), it doesn't stick to me. I know other people who lived their life normally, actively socialized but never got it. What % of the population isn't susceptible? If you don't get sick, your probability of dying from the disease is zero.